Nursing Care Deserts UK 2026 — Lowest Nursing-Bed Capacity per Older Resident
Age-adjusted, beds-led analysis of nursing-home supply across English local authorities. Primary metric: active registered nursing-home beds per 100 residents aged 75+ (OHID Fingertips indicator 92493).
National distribution (nursing beds per 100 aged 75+)
Median
4.7
Mean (sd)
4.72 (1.54)
Severe-undersupply (p10)
2.7
Well-supplied (p75)
5.6
Based on 111 local authorities with adequate nursing bed coverage. 5 local authorities have zero active nursing beds in the CQC directory — treated as severe undersupply where 75+ population > 0.
30 most under-supplied local authorities (nursing beds)
| # | Local authority | Region | Pop. 75+ | Nursing beds | /100 age 75+ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haringey | London | 12,200 | 122 | 1.0 | Severe |
| 2 | Southwark | London | 13,300 | 269 | 2.0 | Severe |
| 3 | Tower Hamlets | London | 8,100 | 165 | 2.0 | Severe |
| 4 | Hackney | London | 10,500 | 224 | 2.1 | Severe |
| 5 | Tameside | North West | 19,900 | 411 | 2.1 | Severe |
| 6 | East Riding of Yorkshire | Yorkshire & The Humber | 45,000 | 930 | 2.1 | Severe |
| 7 | Leicestershire | East Midlands | 69,400 | 1,457 | 2.1 | Severe |
| 8 | Waltham Forest | London | 13,500 | 302 | 2.2 | Severe |
| 9 | Barnsley | Yorkshire & The Humber | 23,200 | 543 | 2.3 | Severe |
| 10 | Cornwall | South West | 76,800 | 1,864 | 2.4 | Severe |
| 11 | Norfolk | East of England | 109,800 | 2,810 | 2.6 | Severe |
| 12 | Lewisham | London | 14,600 | 389 | 2.7 | Severe |
| 13 | Dudley | West Midlands | 32,300 | 933 | 2.9 | Undersupply |
| 14 | Devon | South West | 99,600 | 2,911 | 2.9 | Undersupply |
| 15 | Camden | London | 11,500 | 346 | 3.0 | Undersupply |
| 16 | Isle of Wight | South East | 21,600 | 649 | 3.0 | Undersupply |
| 17 | Portsmouth | South East | 13,700 | 427 | 3.1 | Undersupply |
| 18 | Leicester | East Midlands | 20,200 | 646 | 3.2 | Undersupply |
| 19 | Redbridge | London | 18,600 | 622 | 3.3 | Undersupply |
| 20 | Coventry | West Midlands | 23,600 | 775 | 3.3 | Undersupply |
| 21 | Wakefield | Yorkshire & The Humber | 32,400 | 1,056 | 3.3 | Undersupply |
| 22 | Kensington and Chelsea | London | 10,200 | 347 | 3.4 | Undersupply |
| 23 | Brent | London | 18,700 | 667 | 3.6 | Undersupply |
| 24 | Doncaster | Yorkshire & The Humber | 29,000 | 1,036 | 3.6 | Undersupply |
| 25 | Kirklees | Yorkshire & The Humber | 35,700 | 1,292 | 3.6 | Undersupply |
| 26 | Lincolnshire | East Midlands | 94,000 | 3,422 | 3.6 | Undersupply |
| 27 | Bexley | London | 21,700 | 805 | 3.7 | Undersupply |
| 28 | Redcar and Cleveland | North East | 14,700 | 547 | 3.7 | Undersupply |
| 29 | Bolton | North West | 24,800 | 936 | 3.8 | Average |
| 30 | Stockport | North West | 29,100 | 1,101 | 3.8 | Average |
Best-supplied areas (nursing beds)
| # | Local authority | Nursing beds | /100 age 75+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kingston upon Thames | 1,249 | 10.7 |
| 2 | Surrey | 9,182 | 8.0 |
| 3 | Oxfordshire | 4,920 | 8.0 |
| 4 | Newcastle upon Tyne | 1,641 | 7.5 |
| 5 | Croydon | 1,891 | 7.4 |
| 6 | Cheshire East | 3,298 | 7.4 |
| 7 | Barnet | 1,884 | 7.2 |
| 8 | Warrington | 1,377 | 7.2 |
| 9 | Stoke-on-Trent | 1,494 | 7.0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 919 | 7.0 |
Cost vs nursing supply
Pearson r = -0.067 between nursing beds per 100 aged 75+ and weekly nursing council rate, across 109 LAs with both published.
Bottom supply quartile averages £1,421/week vs £1,351/week in the top supply quartile. Treat descriptively — cost is confounded by London and South East staffing markets.
Legacy secondary — nursing homes per 10,000 total population
Retained for continuity. Not the primary measure.
| Local authority | Nursing homes | /10k total (legacy) | Nursing beds /100 age 75+ (primary) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haringey | 2 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
| Southwark | 3 | 0.1 | 2.0 |
| Tower Hamlets | 2 | 0.1 | 2.0 |
| Waltham Forest | 4 | 0.1 | 2.2 |
| Camden | 5 | 0.2 | 3.0 |
| Hackney | 4 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
| Newham | 6 | 0.2 | 4.2 |
| Brent | 9 | 0.3 | 3.6 |
| Greenwich | 10 | 0.3 | 4.9 |
| Lambeth | 8 | 0.3 | 4.8 |
Frequently asked questions
What is a nursing care desert?
Which area has the lowest nursing-bed capacity?
Why is nursing-home availability worse than general care-home availability?
Data sources: CQC Care Directory (OGL v3.0) for active nursing-home locations and bed counts; ONS 2022 mid-year estimates for 75+ denominators; NHS England ASC-FR for nursing unit costs; OHID Fingertips 92493 as validation benchmark. See the full methodology.